Premium Astros Series Guide Data- Yankees

The season has started!

Unlock the game within the game with the Premium Astros Series Guide Data- Yankees. Get in-depth batting, pitching, and expected stats analysis. Free for the first two series.

These will be a series-by-series installment for the Premium subscribers on the LarryTheGM site or for all of the Patreon subscribers.

To celebrate the start of the season I am making these Premium Astros Series Guide Data articles free for the first series with the Yankees.

Both the Astros and the Yankees will hit and both teams are hammered with injuries in their pitching ranks.

If you want to get this data beyond the first two series

• Subscribe to Premium level on the website.

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The Big Picture - WAR Rankings

The Astros project to have the third ranked offense, and the Yankees project to be the second ranked bats.

The Astros project to have the seventh ranked pitching group and the Yankees project to be a more mediocre seventeenth mound crew.

Overall, the Astros project to have the third highest WAR, and the Yankees project to deliver the fourth highest WAR.

WAR by Positions

These two teams have quality all over the field. Here are a few differences:

• Third Base- Astros advantage

• Center Field- Yankees advantage

• Right Field- Edge Judge over Tucker

• Designated Hitter- Astros advantage

• Relief Pitching- Astros advantage

Bating Lineups Comparison

This table compares the offenses of the two teams by each spot in their projected typical batting orders.

This shows just how even these teams' batters are projected to be.

The current Astros lineup projects to hit 117 wRC+. The current Yankees line projects to hit 116 wRC+.

Pitching Staff Comparison

This table compares the pitching of the two teams by each role on their staff.

Again, the pitching staffs are very similar with the Yankees bullpen not as deep.

The current Astros project to pitch 4.20 FIP in 2024. The current Yankees line project to pitch 4.27 FIP in 2024.

Expected Stats (xwOBA) Tables - by Pitch Type and Platoon

These tables form the basis of my MoneyMaker matchups. One can follow the action and see what pitches the pitchers throw well and what pitches the hitter hit well.

This data unlocks the game within the game. It comes from the data provided from Baseball Savant. This data will change how you watch baseball if you really understand it.

Please see the data description below.

First, I give you the Astros Data.

Astros Batters vs. LHP

Astros Batters vs. RHP

Astros Pitching vs. LHH

Astros Pitching vs. RHH

Yankees Batters vs. LHP

Yankees Batters vs. RHP

Yankees Pitching vs. LHH

Yankees Pitching vs. RHH

The beauty of this data is you can see the relative strengths and weaknesses of the hitter and pitcher and then understand why certain players are pitched the way they are and why substitutions are made.

Don't get lost in the numbers too much. Pay attention to the heatmap color if that helps.

Basic Rules

• Red is good for that player.

• Blue is not good.

• Average xwOBA set at 0.319.
  

I will do a live watch party for one of the games in the Toronto series and show you all how to read this data in real time.

The hitter and pitcher data gets cross referenced to produce the MoneyMaker Astros Daily Lineup Analysis that could be used to get an edge for your fantasy baseball teams.

I showed this yesterday for opening day.

Data Description

Basic Rules

Red is good for that player.

Blue is not good.

Average xwOBA set at 0.319.

Batting Data- 2023

• This data shows for each batter the pitch mix they faced vs. LHP and RHP.

• Then the data show how each batter performed vs. that type of pitch as shown by xwOBA data.

  • xwOBA is used because we are trying to understand the quality of the contact they had vs. each pitch - velocity, launch angle, etc.- and are less focused on the actual luck impacted result.

• Under the total section

  • One can see how many total pitches that batter faced vs. the LHP/ RHP.

    • I have supplied all of the data available.

    • HOWEVER, if a player has less than 200 total pitches in a data set, I would be very careful and definitely focus more on the total and less on the pitch type data. These lines are formatted in yellow.

      • These lines are formatted in yellow.

      • For the Astros this impacts analysis for Singleton and Kessinger.

    • Similarly, off-speed pitch data is less robust as well for the same sample size issue.

  • One can then see how the batter performed overall.

    • xwOBA

    • wOBA- this shows how the actual performance compared to predicted performance.

    • This in essence captures the luck aspects of their 2023 season. A batter with a wOBA 0.030 higher than their xwOBA was lucky in 2023.

• In some case there is no data, or it marked N/A. These happen for rookie pitchers where the is no 2023 data or where Baseball Savant does not have data for that pitch type.
  

Pitching Data- 2023

• This data shows for each pitcher the pitch mix they throw vs. LHH and RHH.

• Then the data show how each pitch performed with that type of pitch as shown by xwOBA data.

  • xwOBA is used because we are trying to understand the quality of the contact hitters had against them for each pitch - velocity, launch angle, etc.- and are less focused on the actual luck impacted result.

• Under the total section

  • One can see how many total pitches that pitcher threw vs. the LHH/ RHH.

    • I have supplied all of the data available.

    • HOWEVER, if a player has less than 200 total pitches in a data set, I would be very careful and definitely focus more on the total and less on the pitch type data.

      • These lines are formatted in yellow.

      • For the Astros this impacts analysis for Mushinski, Hader vs. LHH, and Scott vs. LHH

    • Similarly, off-speed pitch data is less robust as well for the same sample size issue. If a player has less than 10% of a pitch type, consider this a warning. This impacts MANY pitchers.

  • One can then see how the pitcher performed overall.

    • xwOBA

    • wOBA- this shows how the actual performance compared to predicted performance.

    • This in essence captures the luck aspects of their 2023 season. A pitcher with a wOBA 0.030 lower than their xwOBA was lucky in 2023.

• In some case there is no data, or it marked N/A. These happen for rookie pitchers where the is no 2023 data or where Baseball Savant does not have data for that pitch type.