This will be a daily installment for the MoneyMaker subscribers- either on the LarryTheGM site or on Patreon.
My job in the MoneyMaker space is to give you a potential edge in the odds market that you may choose to put some action on. Here is my daily Astros MoneyMaker lineup analysis for 5/14/24- Astros vs. Athletics
I do not believe there is ANYONE else doing this analysis for you. Check it out.
Here is today's video
Folks, I have a lot of personal business today. I will go ahead and post this BEFORE the lineups are official and IF I get done with things update this and make a video with the actual lineups. My recommendations for today are easy, and as long as they are playing, won't change.
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Disclaimer 1- This content is intended to help give you possible ideas you might use to place sports wagers in areas where doing so IS legal. There is no guarantee of results implied. Use these recommendations at your own risk. NEVER gamble what you can't afford to lose.
Baseball is not a sport that lends itself to daily action. What I am doing here is nearly impossible. I am giving you the angle most can't see nor apply. THAT is part of what makes this site so unique.
Disclaimer 2- These articles are going to be blunt and reflect what the numbers say and NOT what I want nor what I hope happens. DO NOT get this confused. I am TRYING to help you in the fantasy baseball and daily fantasy space. I am not going to waste your time on what I want. I am going to tell you what the numbers say is most LIKELY.
You also may want to check out the Premium Astros Series Guide Data- Athletics- 5/13- 5/16 (larrythegm.com) for this series. This will be available at the lower premium price level and to all Patreon members. This article helps set the foundation for the revolutionary thing we do with that data to give you the MoneyMaker edge below.
The MoneyMaker Daily Lineup Analysis Data
This data will be set with the 2023 xwOBA data. We will consider updating to the 2024 current season data in June when there is enough of a database for it.
We focus the data on starters vs. the other team's lineups. League average wOBA 0.319.
Starting for the Astros- Ronel Blanco vs. the Athletics
Ronel Blanco starts are not going to rate as well here as they probably shuld until I include the 2024 data. What I do is raise the bar on opponent's threshold for recommended picks.
The Athletics have several players who do not have data yet in my database. Toro was hurt in 2023, Schuemann, Harris, and McCann are rookies.
Of the Athletics players I do have; they project as a team to hit 0.342 xwOBA today vs. the Blanco stats.
The Athletics best bet fantasy stars today are:
would have picked Brown but unlike last night Bovada has him at a 1.5 Total bases and at a -185 to go over 0.5 hits. I think that is too high of a cost to pay.
The runs model would project the Athletics to score 5.4 runs today if the starting pitcher was in the game for 9 innings.
Starting for the Athletics- JP Sears vs. the Astros
Sears looks like a pitcher the Astros should hit better than the table below indicates.
The Astros project as a team to hit 0.339 xwOBA today.
The Astros best bet fantasy stars today are:
The runs model would project the Astros to score 5.3 runs today if the starting pitcher was in the game for 9 innings.
Let's have fun today Astros fans.
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