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Writer's pictureLarryTheGM

MoneyMaker: Astros Daily Lineup Analysis- 4/9/24

This will be a daily installment for the MoneyMaker subscribers- either on the LarryTheGM site or on Patreon. To celebrate the beginning of a new season I am making these available to EVERYONE.

My job in the MoneyMaker space is to give you a potential edge in the odds market that you may choose to put some action on. Here is my daily Astros MoneyMaker lineup analysis for 4/9/24- Astros vs. Royals.


I do not believe there is ANYONE else doing this analysis for you. Check it out.

I will give you a short video preview at 6:30PM to cover this Daily Lineup Analysis.

Join here to watch:


NOTE THESE ARE NOW PRIVATE VIDEO LINKS FOR MONEYMAKER MEMBERS ONLY. PLEASE DO NOT SHARE.

Follow my X account at @larrythegmman for real takes.


Disclaimer 1- This content is intended to help give you possible ideas you might use to place sports wagers in areas where doing so IS legal. There is no guarantee of results implied. Use these recommendations at your own risk. NEVER gamble what you can't afford to lose.

Baseball is not a sport that lends itself to daily action. What I am doing here is nearly impossible. I am giving you the angle most can't see nor apply. THAT is part of what makes this site so unique.


Disclaimer 2- These articles are going to be blunt and reflect what the numbers say and NOT what I want nor what I hope happens. DO NOT get this confused. I am TRYING to help you in the fantasy baseball and daily fantasy space. I am not going to waste your time on what I want. I am going to tell you what the numbers say is most LIKELY.


You also may want to check out the Premium Astros Series Guide Data- Royals 4/9- 4/11 (larrythegm.com) for this series. This will be available at the lower premium price level and to all Patreon members. This article helps set the foundation for the revolutionary thing we do with that data to give you the MoneyMaker edge below.


The MoneyMaker Daily Lineup Analysis Data

This data will be set with the 2023 xwOBA data. We will consider updating to the 2024 current season data in June when there is enough of a database for it.

We focus the data on starters vs. the other team's lineups. League average wOBA 0.319.


Starting for the Astros- Cristian Javiervs. the Royals


Overall, the Royals team has a 0.338 xwOBA matchup vs. Javier. That would be good for the Astros.

The Royals best bet fantasy stars today are:


  • Velazquez (0.415) - over 0.5 total bases- (-135 on Bovada) This is the LarryTheGM Pick of the Day


The runs model would project the Royals to score 5.3 runs today if Javier was in the game for 9 innings.


Starting for the Royals- Cole Ragans vs. the Astros


Overall, the Astros team has a 0.313 xwOBA matchup vs. Ragans. That would NOT be good for the Astros.


The Astros best bet fantasy stars today are:

  • Alvarez (0.401) - over 1.5 total bases- (+120 on Bovada)

  • Tucker (0.408) - over 1.5 total bases- (+135 on Bovada)

The runs model would project the Astros to score 4.4 runs today if Ragans was in the game for 9 innings.


Let's have fun tonight Astros fans.

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