This will be a daily installment for the MoneyMaker subscribers- either on the LarryTheGM site or on Patreon. To celebrate the beginning of a new season I am making these available to EVERYONE.
My job in the MoneyMaker space is to give you a potential edge in the odds market that you may choose to put some action on. Here is my daily Astros MoneyMaker lineup analysis for 4/8/24- Astros vs. Rangers.
I do not believe there is ANYONE else doing this analysis for you. Check it out.
Here is a fun video of the game last night.
I will give you a short video preview at 6:30PM to cover this Daily Lineup Analysis.
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Disclaimer 1- This content is intended to help give you possible ideas you might use to place sports wagers in areas where doing so IS legal. There is no guarantee of results implied. Use these recommendations at your own risk. NEVER gamble what you can't afford to lose.
Baseball is not a sport that lends itself to daily action. What I am doing here is nearly impossible. I am giving you the angle most can't see nor apply. THAT is part of what makes this site so unique.
Disclaimer 2- These articles are going to be blunt and reflect what the numbers say and NOT what I want nor what I hope happens. DO NOT get this confused. I am TRYING to help you in the fantasy baseball and daily fantasy space. I am not going to waste your time on what I want. I am going to tell you what the numbers say is most LIKELY.
You also may want to check out the Premium Astros Series Guide
Data- Rangers 4/5- 4/8 (larrythegm.com) for this series. This will be available at the lower premium price level and to all Patreon members. This article helps set the foundation for the revolutionary thing we do with that data to give you the MoneyMaker edge below.
The MoneyMaker Daily Lineup Analysis Data
This data will be set with the 2023 xwOBA data. We will consider updating to the 2024 current season data in June when there is enough of a database for it.
We focus the data on starters vs. the other team's lineups. League average wOBA 0.319.
Starting for the Astros- Blair Henley vs. the Rangers
Today the Astros go with Henley and NOT Valdez. Who? Why?
Henley was called up today, Miguel Diaz- who pitched on Friday- was DFAed to create a roster spot for Henley.
Chandler posted this wrt Valdez.
Who is Henley?
2019 Draft Round 7
2023 AA- 106.2 IP, 5.06 ERA, 4.48 FIP
In his first start in AAA he had a 0.282 xwOBA and a 0.419 wOBA.
Threw- 36.7% Sinker, 29.1% Slider, 16.5% Curve, 7.6% 4-seam, 7.6% Change,
2.5% Cutter. Slider and Curve may be his best pitches.
That's really all I know folks.
Henley has no 2023 MLB data in the databank. I can NOT really produce the daily chart of Henley vs. the Rangers. Here is what it would look like for an AVERAGE MLB RHSP with Henley's pitch mix.
There is no data for Langford from 2023.
I would make no conclusions nor action recommendations.
Starting for the Rangers- Andrew Heaney vs. the Astros
Last start- Heaney gave up 3 R and 1 ER in 4.2 IP in his first start. His 1.93 ERA was good and his 0.82 FIP was better. For us xWOBA folks, his first start was 0.198 vs. a 2023 average xwOBA of 0.324. It should have been much worse.
Overall, the Astros team has a 0.355 xwOBA matchup vs. Heaney. That would be good for the Astros.
The Astros best bet fantasy stars today are:
The runs model would project the Astros to score 5.8 runs today if Heaney was in the game for 9 innings.
Let's have fun tonight Astros fans.
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