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Writer's pictureLarryTheGM

MoneyMaker: Astros Daily Lineup Analysis- 4/27/24

This will be a daily installment for the MoneyMaker subscribers- either on the LarryTheGM site or on Patreon.


My job in the MoneyMaker space is to give you a potential edge in the odds market that you may choose to put some action on. Here is my daily Astros MoneyMaker lineup analysis for 4/27/24- Astros vs. Rockies.


I do not believe there is ANYONE else doing this analysis for you. Check it out.


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We will cover Today's Money Maker as BONUS Content on the Astros Weekly Recap- MoneyMaker data starts this!




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Disclaimer 1- This content is intended to help give you possible ideas you might use to place sports wagers in areas where doing so IS legal. There is no guarantee of results implied. Use these recommendations at your own risk. NEVER gamble what you can't afford to lose.

Baseball is not a sport that lends itself to daily action. What I am doing here is nearly impossible. I am giving you the angle most can't see nor apply. THAT is part of what makes this site so unique.


Disclaimer 2- These articles are going to be blunt and reflect what the numbers say and NOT what I want nor what I hope happens. DO NOT get this confused. I am TRYING to help you in the fantasy baseball and daily fantasy space. I am not going to waste your time on what I want. I am going to tell you what the numbers say is most LIKELY.



You also may want to check out the Premium Astros Series Guide Data- Rockies- 4/27- 4/28 (larrythegm.com) for this series. This will be available at the lower premium price level and to all Patreon members. This article helps set the foundation for the revolutionary thing we do with that data to give you the MoneyMaker edge below.


The MoneyMaker Daily Lineup Analysis Data

This data will be set with the 2023 xwOBA data. We will consider updating to the 2024 current season data in June when there is enough of a database for it.

We focus the data on starters vs. the other team's lineups. League average wOBA 0.319.


Starting for the Astros- Ronel Blanco vs. the Rockies


The Rockies project as a team to hit 0.331 xwOBA today.


The data here is more for reference only to whom will have the best day for the Rockies. The Rockies best bet fantasy stars today are:

  • Jones (0.428)- over 1.5 total bases- (-120 on Bovada)

The runs model would project the Rockies to score 5.0 runs today if the average pitcher was in the game for 9 innings.




Starting for the Cubs- Cal Quantrill vs. the Astros



The Astros project as a team to hit 0.394 xwOBA today. The Astros SHOULD have a good hitting day.


The xwOBA numbers for Alvarez and Tucker are SKY High. I am AGAIN doubling down on both. The Bovada Odds are sky high too.


The Astros best bet fantasy stars today are:

  • Alvarez (0.528)- over 2.5 total bases- (+100 on Bovada)

  • Alvarez (0.507) - to hit a HR - (+130 on Bovada)

  • Tucker (0.449)- over 2.5 total bases- (+115 on Bovada)

  • Tucker (0.449)- to hit a HR (+200  on Bovada)

Altuve, Bregman, Diaz would ALL be picks too, but they are all 2.5 Total bases.


The runs model would project the Astros to score 7.1 runs today if the average pitcher was in the game for 9 innings.


Let's have fun today Astros fans.



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