This will be a daily installment for the MoneyMaker subscribers- either on the LarryTheGM site or on Patreon.
My job in the MoneyMaker space is to give you a potential edge in the odds market that you may choose to put some action on. Here is my daily Astros MoneyMaker lineup analysis for 4/23/24- Astros vs. Cubs.
I do not believe there is ANYONE else doing this analysis for you. Check it out.
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Disclaimer 1- This content is intended to help give you possible ideas you might use to place sports wagers in areas where doing so IS legal. There is no guarantee of results implied. Use these recommendations at your own risk. NEVER gamble what you can't afford to lose.
Baseball is not a sport that lends itself to daily action. What I am doing here is nearly impossible. I am giving you the angle most can't see nor apply. THAT is part of what makes this site so unique.
Disclaimer 2- These articles are going to be blunt and reflect what the numbers say and NOT what I want nor what I hope happens. DO NOT get this confused. I am TRYING to help you in the fantasy baseball and daily fantasy space. I am not going to waste your time on what I want. I am going to tell you what the numbers say is most LIKELY.
You also may want to check out the Premium Astros Series Guide Data- Cubs- 4/23- 4/25 (larrythegm.com) for this series. This will be available at the lower premium price level and to all Patreon members. This article helps set the foundation for the revolutionary thing we do with that data to give you the MoneyMaker edge below.
The MoneyMaker Daily Lineup Analysis Data
This data will be set with the 2023 xwOBA data. We will consider updating to the 2024 current season data in June when there is enough of a database for it.
We focus the data on starters vs. the other team's lineups. League average wOBA 0.319.
Starting for the Astros- J.P. France vs. the Cubs
J.P. France gets the Start. His 0.329 BABIP would indicate he has been on par with luck. His 4.85 FIP vs. 7.08 ERA would also indicate a large unlucky component. For us xWOBA folks, his 2024 xwOBA is 0.349 vs. a 2023 average xwOBA of 0.338.
What will the Astros get from J.P. France today? Guesses anyone?
The Cubs project as a team to hit 0.351 xwOBA. This would be another challenging game.
The Cubs best bet fantasy stars today are:
Swanson - over 1.5 total bases- (+110 on Bovada)- This is the LarryTheGM Pick of the day.
The runs model would project the Cubs to score 5.7 runs today if France was in the game for 9 innings.
Starting for the Cubs- Jordan Wicks vs. the Astros
Wicks was a rookie last year. He has had 34.2 IP in 2023 TOTAL. In 2024 his ERA is 5.29 and his FIP is 3.06. His numbers are a little suspect especially vs. LHH.
The Astros project as a team to hit only 0.340 xwOBA. This would be another challenging game. I think Tucker and Alvarez will get him.
The Astros best bet fantasy stars today are:
Let's have fun today Astros fans.
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