Unlock the game within the game with the Astros Series Guide Data- Dodgers. Get in-depth batting, pitching, and expected stats analysis.
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Now, let me give you the series guide.
Current Team Status
Status before the series
The Astros remain in the playoff hunt in first place in the AL West. The team currently has 57.9% projected chance of making the Post Season according to Fangraphs.com
Overall Astros Series Statistical Matchup
The Dodgers have been a great team that has been challenged by injuries. I added the IL for both teams to illustrate the impact of injuries on both of these teams.
Bating Lineups Comparison
This table compares the offenses of the two teams by each spot in their projected typical batting orders.
The current Astros lineup projects to hit 115 wRC+ the rest of the season and is hitting 109 so far. The current Dodgers lineup projects to hit 118 wRC+ the rest of the season and is hitting 119 so far.
Here are the Astros offensive numbers with RISP.
Pitching Staff Comparison
The Astros are projected to pitch 4.17 FIP for the rest of 2024 and have pitched to a 4.28 FIP so far. The Dodgers are projected to pitch 3.98 FIP for the rest of 2024 and have pitched to a 4.06 FIP so far.
You can see how the starting and relief pitchers have fared so far.
Expected Stats (xwOBA) Tables - by Pitch Type and Platoon
These tables form the basis of my MoneyMaker matchups. One can follow the action and see what pitches the pitchers throw well and what pitches the hitter hit well.
The data is now completely based on 2024 data except:
Aledmys Diaz is in the data base as 2023-2024 data.
Loperfido and Cabbage vs. LHP is in the data base as a combination of AAA and major league data in 2023-2024.
Bloss and King vs. LHH is in the data base as a combination of AAA and major league data in 2023-2024.
Bloss data is severely limited because he spent little time in AAA.
This data unlocks the game within the game. It comes from the data provided from Baseball Savant. This data will change how you watch baseball if you really understand it.
First, I give you the Astros Data.
Astros Batters vs. LHP
Astros Batters vs. RHP
Notice how the Astros batters are better vs. fastballs than they are breaking and off-speed pitches.
Astros Pitching vs. LHH
Astros Pitching vs. RHH
Opponent Batters vs. LHP
Opponent Batters vs. RHP
Opponent Pitching vs. LHH
Opponent Pitching vs. RHH
The beauty of this data is you can see the relative strengths and weaknesses of the hitter and pitcher and then understand why certain players are pitched the way they are and why substitutions are made.
Don't get lost in the numbers too much. Pay attention to the heatmap color if that helps.
Basic Rules
Red is good for that player.
Blue is not good.
Average xwOBA set at 0.319.
The hitter and pitcher data gets cross referenced to produce the MoneyMaker Astros Daily Lineup Analysis that could be used to get an edge for your fantasy baseball teams.
Also check out the MoneyMaker: Astros Daily Lineup Analysis here for tonight's game. Video after the lineups are released.
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