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Writer's pictureLarryTheGM

Astros Postseason Pitching Matchups

Updated: Oct 14, 2022

One of the things I considered putting in the ALDS Matchup Guide was this table which shows the expected starters and how their predicted xwOBAs would matchup against each other.


I chose to separate this because I intend this to be a more fluid article. I will also update the bullpen availabilities of each team as the series progresses.

Get the full context in the guide.


Included below


Today's Starters Detailed Grids

The team overall grids

Staff Availability Grid

How Game 2 Played Out


The matchups would predict

Game 1- Astros win- Verlander dominates Gilbert- in reality Verlander struggled and the Astros bullpen held and the Astros stormed back vs. the great Mariners bullpen


Game 2- Mariners win-Castillo beats Valdez

ACTUALLY the ASTROS WON!


Game 3- Astros win- McCullers beats Kirby


Game 4- Javier dominates Ray


Astros win in Game 4. But now, Get the SWEEP now.


Let's Do It!


Game 3 Starters Detailed Grids- by my grids McCullers has an advantage vs. Kirby





The Lineup Dusty is going with is below


We will add when we can. I will be at the Longhorns game.















The team overall grids- monitor as pitching changes occur


Staff Availability Grid



As you can see with the off day yesterday only the previous starters are not available today.




How Game 2 Played Out

Green Lucky- Hit when xwOBA < 0.300

Orange UnLucky- No Hit when xwOBA > 0.300

These are arbitrary but you get an idea.


How Game 1 Played Out

Green Lucky- Hit when xwOBA < 0.300

Orange UnLucky- No Hit when xwOBA > 0.300

These are arbitrary but you get an idea.



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